Friday, February 20, 2009

Calm Like A Bomb: The 2nd Great Depression

by Raju M Mathew

This is the Great Depression II - The crisis that we are now facing can rightly be called The Great Depression II of 2009 . And it is several times severe than the Great Depression I of 1929. It is not mere a financial meltdown; not mere a credit crisis. It is not a recession to disappear within two years. The dimensions and intensities of the Great Depression II are quite different from the early one.

Threat to Peace and Democracy
History teaches us that every major crisis or revolution is followed by dictatorship or war. Fascism was the offspring of the Great Depression I of 1929. Crisis in the Old France led to the French Revolution; October Revolution was the consequence of the socio-economic crisis in the Czarist Russia.

Unless the present crisis are dealt immediately, millions of hard hit and unemployed people, besides the angry debtors will march towards the streets and the capitals and capture the power that invariably leads to dictatorship and then the war. It will also lead to clashes between people of different regions or interest groups and ultimately civil wars. Mass burglary or looting will become the rule and billions will die out of hunger, epidemics and civil wars.

The Great Depression II shall be the greatest threat to peace, democracy and rule of law.

Time to Act
Now we are in the early stage of the Great Depression II and as such the people and the governments are in a riddle or puzzle to grasp the crisis. In the next stage they will be in an absolute shock to realize the losses and damages that they have to encounter; over 80 per cent of the jobs will be wiped out; a good majority of trade and business people will turn bankrupts. . At that stage, so many people will commit suicide or reach on the verge of mental brake down. This is the stage of total crisis of faith; people will loose faith in every thing and they will be ready to anything. This is the most dangerous situation that will lead to revolutions, mass crimes and lootings and even civil war.

In order to avoid all these situations, we have to act urgently; the governments, international agencies, governmental and non-governmental and world religions must work together to deal with it in order to avoid greater miseries.